In addition to the usual security bulletin, Microsoft has recently introduced several updates for Windows, which is not related to the strengthening of its protection from various threats. The most important of these was an update to the operating system Windows 7 32-bit, Windows 7 64-bit, Windows Server 2008 R2 64 bit and Windows Server 2008 R2 Itanium, aimed at enhancing their stability and reliability.
Note that Microsoft quite regularly pleases software platforms, Windows 7 and Windows Server 2008 R2 update, it is aimed at improving the reliability and stability of their products. For example, in the latest service pack contains fixes to help solve the following problem:
Fatal crash in Windows Explorer and then re-opening when you try to access the element in the control panel, created by third parties
Unable to connect to the services SQL Server Analysis Services from applications in Windows 7 and Windows Server 2008 R2 after installing Office Live Add-in 1.4 or Windows Live ID Sign-in Assistant 6.5
Windows Explorer stops responding to user actions within 30 seconds when creating or renaming a file or directory after you install certain applications
Display within 30 seconds the Welcome screen when trying to log into the system if you install a solid color as your desktop background
Absence of a warning in case of simultaneous removal of more than 1000 files. The files are erased forever, and not transferred to the basket.
Another update is intended for those who installs the software package Microsoft Office 2010, and is intended to replace certain fonts, new versions. This update is available for operating systems, Windows Vista 32-bit, Windows Vista 64-bit, Windows Server 2008 32-bit, Windows Server 2008 64 bit and Windows Server 2008 Itanium. In addition, released updates to address problems on computers with an activated function of BitLocker, as well as for Internet Information Services (IIS) version 7.0/7.5 and Windows Installer (MSI) version 4.5.
Thursday, April 29, 2010
Are Phone Manufacturers ''Abandoning'' Android?
Recent announcements are sketching a slight shift away from the Android platform.
Bloomberg (via BusinessWeek) reports that Google's Android alliance is showing signs of strain. Although more than 60,000 Android-based mobile phones are sold and activated each day, there is now an obvious shift within partners to steer away from Google's mobile OS... or at least, place the main focus on a variety of options. Verizon Wireless, which currently offers the popular Motorola Droid, is a prime example of the shift, declaring on Wednesday that it will not carry the Nexus One smartphone as previously intended.
So what's going on? Carl Howe, an analyst at Yankee Group, a Boston-based research firm, said that manufacturers are afraid of giving Google too much power. "I don’t think anyone wants to say, 'In addition to 70 percent of the search traffic in the world, we're going to give them a whole lot more business,'" he said. The fear is backed by Google's considerable jump in the mobile market, rising from 5.2-percent at the end of 2009 to 9-percent in February.
On the Motorola front, the company isn't exactly moving away from the Android platform. Instead, it announced that it will use location and navigation technology provided by Skyhood Wireless in future devices, territory previously dominated by Google's offering. HTC, which currently provides the Droid Eris and Droid Incredible, may develop a custom OS internally. Samsung already took this step, revealing its Bada mobile OS earlier this year.
Recent events may make the shift a bit more drastic. Wednesday Microsoft and HTC announced a deal that would allow the mobile phone manufacturer to use Android on its devices in exchange for royalties. Microsoft claims--as does Apple--that Google's Android OS infringes on their trademarks. Phone manufacturers could eventually deem the OS as problematic on both a legal and financial standpoint, and abandon Android altogether.
For now, there's still demand for Android. Google is currently playing "catch up" with the firmware, adding missing features and ironing out numerous bugs. A spokesperson for HTC said that the company still has a serious commitment to the Google platform, a good sign to say the least.
Bloomberg (via BusinessWeek) reports that Google's Android alliance is showing signs of strain. Although more than 60,000 Android-based mobile phones are sold and activated each day, there is now an obvious shift within partners to steer away from Google's mobile OS... or at least, place the main focus on a variety of options. Verizon Wireless, which currently offers the popular Motorola Droid, is a prime example of the shift, declaring on Wednesday that it will not carry the Nexus One smartphone as previously intended.
So what's going on? Carl Howe, an analyst at Yankee Group, a Boston-based research firm, said that manufacturers are afraid of giving Google too much power. "I don’t think anyone wants to say, 'In addition to 70 percent of the search traffic in the world, we're going to give them a whole lot more business,'" he said. The fear is backed by Google's considerable jump in the mobile market, rising from 5.2-percent at the end of 2009 to 9-percent in February.
On the Motorola front, the company isn't exactly moving away from the Android platform. Instead, it announced that it will use location and navigation technology provided by Skyhood Wireless in future devices, territory previously dominated by Google's offering. HTC, which currently provides the Droid Eris and Droid Incredible, may develop a custom OS internally. Samsung already took this step, revealing its Bada mobile OS earlier this year.
Recent events may make the shift a bit more drastic. Wednesday Microsoft and HTC announced a deal that would allow the mobile phone manufacturer to use Android on its devices in exchange for royalties. Microsoft claims--as does Apple--that Google's Android OS infringes on their trademarks. Phone manufacturers could eventually deem the OS as problematic on both a legal and financial standpoint, and abandon Android altogether.
For now, there's still demand for Android. Google is currently playing "catch up" with the firmware, adding missing features and ironing out numerous bugs. A spokesperson for HTC said that the company still has a serious commitment to the Google platform, a good sign to say the least.
Microsoft introduced a new Windows Live Messenger
General Director of Microsoft Corporation Steve Ballmer presented Windows Live Messenger the next generation. As the developer, the new Messenger is the first product announced a set of services for communication and file sharing Windows Live, which is now preparing to exit.
Messenger combines news social networks such as Facebook, Twitter, MySpace and LinkedIn, allowing you to share information, post comments and send messages to all these networks from a single window, Messenger. In addition, it combines the renovation of other sites used by friends (Flickr, Livejournal, YouTube and others), even if the user did not enjoy them. Now this information is in one place, and in the section "Favourites" updates from people who are identified as the closest will be automatically displayed at the top of the list.
Here are some possibilities of the new Windows Live Messenger:
Social Renewal - to Messenger connect the most popular social network sites such as Facebook, Twitter, etc. Now you can get the comments left on the wall, to photos, commercials and other updates from your friends directly in the Messenger, these updates are structured according to the priority of friends;
Synchronized update status. When the update appears in the Messenger, the status can be automatically updated in the various social networks, and vice versa;
Built-in commenting: the user can comment on status updates in Messenger or information obtained from social networks directly in the Messenger and not to open additional pages;
Social update from Hotmail: all social updates from incoming Hotmail email can be displayed directly in the Messenger, so do not have to look them in different places;
Messenger Connect allows any website to integrate Messenger, allowing users to communicate and share files without leaving the web page. In turn friends on Messenger Users can receive updates from these sites, and they do not have to build on their profiles and networks;
HD video chat. New Messenger lets you chat via video in full screen mode in the resolution of high quality.
Integrating search results Bing makes it easy to add photos and videos from the Internet without leaving the conversation window;
One contact list. The new Messenger is designed so that by combining the network and update duplicate contacts;
Messenger for smartphones - download and install new version at the Windows Phone, iPhone, Blackberry and other popular smartphones. This will allow access to all contacts, start a conversation, share photos and update status.
New Messenger weekdays officially launched in the coming months. It will be available for download on the site download.live.com. Now this link to download the current version of Messenger and other programs, Windows Live Essentials.
Messenger combines news social networks such as Facebook, Twitter, MySpace and LinkedIn, allowing you to share information, post comments and send messages to all these networks from a single window, Messenger. In addition, it combines the renovation of other sites used by friends (Flickr, Livejournal, YouTube and others), even if the user did not enjoy them. Now this information is in one place, and in the section "Favourites" updates from people who are identified as the closest will be automatically displayed at the top of the list.
Here are some possibilities of the new Windows Live Messenger:
Social Renewal - to Messenger connect the most popular social network sites such as Facebook, Twitter, etc. Now you can get the comments left on the wall, to photos, commercials and other updates from your friends directly in the Messenger, these updates are structured according to the priority of friends;
Synchronized update status. When the update appears in the Messenger, the status can be automatically updated in the various social networks, and vice versa;
Built-in commenting: the user can comment on status updates in Messenger or information obtained from social networks directly in the Messenger and not to open additional pages;
Social update from Hotmail: all social updates from incoming Hotmail email can be displayed directly in the Messenger, so do not have to look them in different places;
Messenger Connect allows any website to integrate Messenger, allowing users to communicate and share files without leaving the web page. In turn friends on Messenger Users can receive updates from these sites, and they do not have to build on their profiles and networks;
HD video chat. New Messenger lets you chat via video in full screen mode in the resolution of high quality.
Integrating search results Bing makes it easy to add photos and videos from the Internet without leaving the conversation window;
One contact list. The new Messenger is designed so that by combining the network and update duplicate contacts;
Messenger for smartphones - download and install new version at the Windows Phone, iPhone, Blackberry and other popular smartphones. This will allow access to all contacts, start a conversation, share photos and update status.
New Messenger weekdays officially launched in the coming months. It will be available for download on the site download.live.com. Now this link to download the current version of Messenger and other programs, Windows Live Essentials.
Shakira Says 'Waka Waka It's Time for Africa'
Colombian songstress Shakira is a true international star so it only makes sense that she was asked to compose a song for the 2010 FIFA World Cup that will take place this summer in South Africa. And so she did!
Shakira's "Waka Waka It's Time for Africa" is very upbeat and positive, and we quite like it! And in true international style, the songstress mixes languages beautifully! We have already told you that Shakira doesn't only drop one hit after the other, she is also heavily involved in charity activity related to children's social justice, and she was recently honored with a medal from the International Labour Organisation for her work.
So how come a star like herself has decided to dedicate so much time and effort to those in need? Well, she simply follows the words of the Mahatma! "Gandhi used to say 'be the change you wish to see in the world,' and I've followed that maxim," Shakira told reporters at the event. Growing up in Columbia, Shakira saw a lot of poverty that "shaped my dream and my vision of social justice," she added.
A good voice and a good heart, we love it! So check out Shakira's "Waka Waka It's Time for Africa" for this year's FIFA World Cup and tell us if you dig the track
Shakira's "Waka Waka It's Time for Africa" is very upbeat and positive, and we quite like it! And in true international style, the songstress mixes languages beautifully! We have already told you that Shakira doesn't only drop one hit after the other, she is also heavily involved in charity activity related to children's social justice, and she was recently honored with a medal from the International Labour Organisation for her work.
So how come a star like herself has decided to dedicate so much time and effort to those in need? Well, she simply follows the words of the Mahatma! "Gandhi used to say 'be the change you wish to see in the world,' and I've followed that maxim," Shakira told reporters at the event. Growing up in Columbia, Shakira saw a lot of poverty that "shaped my dream and my vision of social justice," she added.
A good voice and a good heart, we love it! So check out Shakira's "Waka Waka It's Time for Africa" for this year's FIFA World Cup and tell us if you dig the track
DISMANTLE SAARC
With both China and Russia intending to be observers while Iran requests a full membership, the future of SAARC would ideally have looked quite sanguine if it had exploited its true potential.
Unfortunately the SAARC has miserably failed to live up to expectations with the Indo-Pakistan conflict overshadowing everything else. In fact the sideline talks of the two countries during the SAARC summits continue to attract more attention than the main SAARC conference itself, so much so the latter now looks more like a facilitating conference for Indo-Pakistan bi-lateral talks on Kashmir and terrorists.
As a result SAARC still remains the least united regional organization in the world with trade among the SAARC countries accounting for only 2% of the combined GDP of its nations. Even in neighbouring East-Asia this accounts to about 20 per cent while other regional bodies like the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR) and the African Union (AU) have made major headway especially in trade.
If everything goes well, the UNASUR countries will eliminate tariff for non-sensitive products by 2014 and for sensitive products by 2019 --thus making the zone one single market.
The African Union has already begun a step-by-step process to establish an African Economic Community with a common currency and single a central bank by 2023.
With diverging security and political interests, and with culture being the only binding factor, the SAARC despite its strength –1.5 billion people-- or one fifth of the global population, remains directionless when it comes to collective strength. The inertia of the regional body had resulted in its member states becoming a bully victim of other regional bodies like EU which has a mere 500 million population. The need to plead for GSP plus concessions would not have arisen if South Asia had a vibrant economic zone.
While some 53 states work in tandem in the African Union for a common currency and some 27 states do business in the EU, the eight nations in the South Asian regional union which has been in existence for 17 long years have failed to achieve anything substantial so far.
The strength of the region India, the world’s fourth largest country by purchasing power parity (PPP) also remains its weakness as the gulf of power imbalance created by overpowering India is not something others could bridge.
If SAARC nations cannot work together due to conflicting interests, then the member states better dismantle the organization and join neighbouring regional bodies where there is better parity of status and reap whatever benefits available.
Unfortunately the SAARC has miserably failed to live up to expectations with the Indo-Pakistan conflict overshadowing everything else. In fact the sideline talks of the two countries during the SAARC summits continue to attract more attention than the main SAARC conference itself, so much so the latter now looks more like a facilitating conference for Indo-Pakistan bi-lateral talks on Kashmir and terrorists.
As a result SAARC still remains the least united regional organization in the world with trade among the SAARC countries accounting for only 2% of the combined GDP of its nations. Even in neighbouring East-Asia this accounts to about 20 per cent while other regional bodies like the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR) and the African Union (AU) have made major headway especially in trade.
If everything goes well, the UNASUR countries will eliminate tariff for non-sensitive products by 2014 and for sensitive products by 2019 --thus making the zone one single market.
The African Union has already begun a step-by-step process to establish an African Economic Community with a common currency and single a central bank by 2023.
With diverging security and political interests, and with culture being the only binding factor, the SAARC despite its strength –1.5 billion people-- or one fifth of the global population, remains directionless when it comes to collective strength. The inertia of the regional body had resulted in its member states becoming a bully victim of other regional bodies like EU which has a mere 500 million population. The need to plead for GSP plus concessions would not have arisen if South Asia had a vibrant economic zone.
While some 53 states work in tandem in the African Union for a common currency and some 27 states do business in the EU, the eight nations in the South Asian regional union which has been in existence for 17 long years have failed to achieve anything substantial so far.
The strength of the region India, the world’s fourth largest country by purchasing power parity (PPP) also remains its weakness as the gulf of power imbalance created by overpowering India is not something others could bridge.
If SAARC nations cannot work together due to conflicting interests, then the member states better dismantle the organization and join neighbouring regional bodies where there is better parity of status and reap whatever benefits available.
China Lifts HIV Travel Ban
Migrant workers attend an event to promote HIV/AIDS awareness December 1, 2005, in Chengdu of Sichuan Province.
It's good to know that the United States lifted their ban on HIV-positive travelers before China. Until January, the US was one of seven countries with laws barring entry of people with HIV, according to amfAR. Today, that number has dropped to five. China's government lifted a 20-year old rule that banned foreigners with HIV and AIDS from entering the country. China's State Council repealed the ban after they realized it did little to prevent the spread of the disease. With the upcoming world expo taking place in Shanghai this year, they realized it caused major problems when hosting international events. This isn't the first time the ban was lifted. During the 2008 Olympics in Beijing, the government temporarily lifted the ban.
Trade pact with Japan for 9,000 items likely
India and Japan will hold negotiations for signing a comprehensive economic partnership pact (CEPA) during Japanese minister of economy, trade and industry Nasayuki Naoshima’s three-day visit to India beginning Friday.
This agreement would remove duty and other barriers for bilateral investment and trade in goods and services for the countries. As many as 9,000 products ranging from steel, pharmaceuticals and machinery will be traded with zero or marginal tariff. The pact is scheduled to be signed by end of the calendar year.
“We are making progress in our negotiations. As per our political commitments, we would like to sign the pact. We want goods, services and investments in the trade agreement. But Japan has some basic issues which are yet to be resolved,” an official said.
The last round of negotiations was held during September 29-October 1, 2009 in Tokyo. Officials from the two countries have held 12 rounds of discussions without reso” an official said.
The last round of negotiations was held during September 29-October 1, 2009 in Tokyo. Officials from the two countries have held 12 rounds of discussions without reso” an official said.
The last round of negotiations was held during September 29-October 1, 2009 in Tokyo. Officials from the two countries have held 12 rounds of discussions without reso” an official said.
The last round of negotiations was held during September 29-October 1, 2009 in Tokyo. Officials from the two countries have held 12 rounds of discussions without reso” an official said.
The last round of negotiations was held during September 29-October 1, 2009 in Tokyo. Officials from the two countries have held 12 rounds of discussions without reso” an official said.
The last round of negotiations was held during September 29-October 1, 2009 in Tokyo. Officials from the two countries have held 12 rounds of discussions without reso” an official said.
The last round of negotiations was held during September 29-October 1, 2009 in Tokyo. Officials from the two countries have held 12 rounds of discussions without resolving basic differences, which are holding the agreement.
"India is seeking market access in Japan for its agricultural products and pharmaceuticals. Services are also of interest to India," said the official. Japan's tariffs for many agricultural commodities have remained high. Also, sectors such as oilseeds, dairy products, sugar and sugar products face higher tariffs there.
This agreement would remove duty and other barriers for bilateral investment and trade in goods and services for the countries. As many as 9,000 products ranging from steel, pharmaceuticals and machinery will be traded with zero or marginal tariff. The pact is scheduled to be signed by end of the calendar year.
“We are making progress in our negotiations. As per our political commitments, we would like to sign the pact. We want goods, services and investments in the trade agreement. But Japan has some basic issues which are yet to be resolved,” an official said.
The last round of negotiations was held during September 29-October 1, 2009 in Tokyo. Officials from the two countries have held 12 rounds of discussions without reso” an official said.
The last round of negotiations was held during September 29-October 1, 2009 in Tokyo. Officials from the two countries have held 12 rounds of discussions without reso” an official said.
The last round of negotiations was held during September 29-October 1, 2009 in Tokyo. Officials from the two countries have held 12 rounds of discussions without reso” an official said.
The last round of negotiations was held during September 29-October 1, 2009 in Tokyo. Officials from the two countries have held 12 rounds of discussions without reso” an official said.
The last round of negotiations was held during September 29-October 1, 2009 in Tokyo. Officials from the two countries have held 12 rounds of discussions without reso” an official said.
The last round of negotiations was held during September 29-October 1, 2009 in Tokyo. Officials from the two countries have held 12 rounds of discussions without reso” an official said.
The last round of negotiations was held during September 29-October 1, 2009 in Tokyo. Officials from the two countries have held 12 rounds of discussions without resolving basic differences, which are holding the agreement.
"India is seeking market access in Japan for its agricultural products and pharmaceuticals. Services are also of interest to India," said the official. Japan's tariffs for many agricultural commodities have remained high. Also, sectors such as oilseeds, dairy products, sugar and sugar products face higher tariffs there.
India puts block on Chinese telecoms imports
The Indian government is blocking purchases of telecoms equipment from Chinese vendors on national security grounds, ratcheting up trade tensions between Asia’s fastest-growing large economies.
The practice has prompted complaints from Beijing and is causing havoc for mobile operators in India, which need enormous amounts of equipment to sustain an industry that is adding 20m new users a month.
“Proposals for procurement of equipment from Chinese original equipment manufacturing vendors have not been recommended due to security concerns,” the Department of Telecommunications wrote this week in correspondence to the prime minister’s Office, seen by the Financial Times. “Therefore, the proposals from the service providers for purchase of Chinese equipment is turned down.”
India’s mobile market has become an important source of revenue for Chinese companies, accounting for about 11 per cent of 2008 turnover at Shenzhen-based Huawei Technologies, one of the world’s leading telecoms equipment makers.
But China’s growing trade surplus with India – about $16bn last year – is leading to tensions, with Indian companies complaining that the market is being flooded with cheaper Chinese goods.
New Delhi has long been accused of blocking the purchase of some Chinese telecoms equipment due to fears Beijing might embed spying devices in its networks.
Previously, this practice was thought to be mostly limited to equipment to be installed in India’s disputed border regions with Pakistan and China. But in December, the Department of Telecommunications amended its licence conditions for mobile service providers, requiring them to submit all plans for procurement of telecoms equipment from foreign vendors for screening for “security clearance”.
Although the December amendment did not single out China, in practice, security agencies have been blocking applications involving Chinese vendors. Indian department officials were unavailable for comment on Thursday night.
Chinese officials were also unavailable for comment. But the correspondence seen by the FT mentioned a request from the Chinese embassy in New Delhi for information on the amendment.
ZTE, China’s second-largest network equipment maker and the fifth-largest worldwide with $750m of turnover in India, said yesterday that it was still investigating the situation.
“This is apparently not normal commercial behaviour but something related to political factors, and it is not appropriate for us to comment on political issues,” said ZTE.
India is the world’s second-largest mobile market after China with 584m subscribers.
The practice has prompted complaints from Beijing and is causing havoc for mobile operators in India, which need enormous amounts of equipment to sustain an industry that is adding 20m new users a month.
“Proposals for procurement of equipment from Chinese original equipment manufacturing vendors have not been recommended due to security concerns,” the Department of Telecommunications wrote this week in correspondence to the prime minister’s Office, seen by the Financial Times. “Therefore, the proposals from the service providers for purchase of Chinese equipment is turned down.”
India’s mobile market has become an important source of revenue for Chinese companies, accounting for about 11 per cent of 2008 turnover at Shenzhen-based Huawei Technologies, one of the world’s leading telecoms equipment makers.
But China’s growing trade surplus with India – about $16bn last year – is leading to tensions, with Indian companies complaining that the market is being flooded with cheaper Chinese goods.
New Delhi has long been accused of blocking the purchase of some Chinese telecoms equipment due to fears Beijing might embed spying devices in its networks.
Previously, this practice was thought to be mostly limited to equipment to be installed in India’s disputed border regions with Pakistan and China. But in December, the Department of Telecommunications amended its licence conditions for mobile service providers, requiring them to submit all plans for procurement of telecoms equipment from foreign vendors for screening for “security clearance”.
Although the December amendment did not single out China, in practice, security agencies have been blocking applications involving Chinese vendors. Indian department officials were unavailable for comment on Thursday night.
Chinese officials were also unavailable for comment. But the correspondence seen by the FT mentioned a request from the Chinese embassy in New Delhi for information on the amendment.
ZTE, China’s second-largest network equipment maker and the fifth-largest worldwide with $750m of turnover in India, said yesterday that it was still investigating the situation.
“This is apparently not normal commercial behaviour but something related to political factors, and it is not appropriate for us to comment on political issues,” said ZTE.
India is the world’s second-largest mobile market after China with 584m subscribers.
Nokia announced affordable Nokia X2 in India.
Nokia India today added a new member; Nokia X2 in its X series of mobile phones. The Nokia X2 is a younger brother of recently introduced Nokia X3 and Nokia X6 smartphones. X2 comes with 5-megapixel camera, expandable memory and dual speakers, dedicated music keys, 3.5mm headphone jack and direct access to Facebook from the home screen – all these features at affordable price tag.Nokia X2 has 2.2 inches TFT display and has 5-megapixel camera with LED flash and it supports video recording. With 48MB internal memory, phone has expandable memory of up to 16GB via microSD card slot. This music phone also has a social networking support by which user can direct access Facebook from the home screen and comes with Nokia Messaging for email and Instant Messaging.
Nokia X2 is a Symbian series 40, 2G Network phone (GSM 850 / 900 / 1800 / 1900 ) and comes with many features like, 1000 entries phonebook with photocall, Class 32 GPRS and EDGE, Bluetooth v2.1 with A2DP, Stereo FM radio with RDS and Dedicated music keys for quick music access.
With all these features and specifications, phone has Li-Ion 860 mAh battery which has up to 13 hours 30 min talk time and it can play continuous music for up to 27 hours. Nokia X2 weights 81 grams.
Nokia X2 will be available in Red on Black and Blue on Silver color schemes and it is expected to arrive by end of June at a estimated retail price tag of Rs. 5,000 only.
Nokia X2 is a Symbian series 40, 2G Network phone (GSM 850 / 900 / 1800 / 1900 ) and comes with many features like, 1000 entries phonebook with photocall, Class 32 GPRS and EDGE, Bluetooth v2.1 with A2DP, Stereo FM radio with RDS and Dedicated music keys for quick music access.
With all these features and specifications, phone has Li-Ion 860 mAh battery which has up to 13 hours 30 min talk time and it can play continuous music for up to 27 hours. Nokia X2 weights 81 grams.
Nokia X2 will be available in Red on Black and Blue on Silver color schemes and it is expected to arrive by end of June at a estimated retail price tag of Rs. 5,000 only.
Pak Needs to be Reassured Over Threat from India: US
As Pakistan combats the terrorist threat along the Af-Pak border by moving about one lakh troops from its India border, a top Pentagon official told US lawmakers today that Washington needs to reassure Islamabad that it is not exposing itself to increased risk along its eastern border.
"Although extremist attacks have led to the repositioning of substantial Pakistani forces, Pakistan's strategic concerns about India remain pre-eminent," Michele Flournoy, the Under Secretary for Policy in the Department of Defense, told lawmakers.
"We must continue to reassure Pakistan that as it combats the terrorist threat, it is not exposing itself to increased risk along its eastern border," he told a Congressional hearing.
A day earlier, Pentagon had informed the US Congress that the Pakistan Army has shifted about one lakh troops from the Indian border to its western border; thus acknowledging the fact that terrorism and internal insurgency poses more threat to the country.
"More than 100,000 PAKMIL troops were moved from the eastern border with India. This unprecedented deployment and thinning of the lines against India indicates that Islamabad has acknowledged its domestic insurgent threat. Pakistan has suffered attacks from terrorists in response to its successful operations," the Pentagon said in its latest periodic report to the Congress on Afghanistan.
Testifying before the House Armed Services Committee, Flournoy said Pakistan is also wary about the increasing Indo-US relationship.
"A final hurdle, frankly, relates to the legacy of mistrust between the United States and Pakistan. Past US sanctions, past Pakistani concerns about the growing US-India relationship, its scepticism about US staying power in the region have made it a weary partner," she said.
"Similarly, reports of Pakistan's tolerance and support for some violent extremist groups have created scepticism on the US side," she said, adding that this is a partnership that is absolutely vital to US national interests.
"But it is also complex. And the need for candid dialogue and mutual reassurance remains very strong, and I believe we have made substantial progress in this regard over the last year," she said.
Observing that Pakistan's traditional defence posture is and always has been geared to conventional military conflict with India and not a counterinsurgency, she said consequently, prior to Pakistani Taliban's audacious foray into the Swat valley approximately one year ago, Pakistani leadership was reluctant to acknowledge such groups as serious threats to their state security.
"In the past, the Pakistan approach to dealing with violent extremists relied primarily on limited and often inconclusive military operations, as well as tenuous cease-fire agreements, all of which collapsed immediately.
Pakistan's approach to military networks changed when these militants began directing their violence inward, against the Pakistani state, the people and the society," Flournoy said.
Responding to a question, Lt. Gen John Paxton (US Marines), Director for Operations, Joint Chief of Staff, said India too has moved troops from the Pakistan border.
"Yes, sir, I think probably on the intelligence side, we probably want to answer that in closed session," he said.
"We have made overtures, obviously, that trying to diminish the feeling of a threat there will have mutual benefits and a lessening of tensions within the region," Paxton said.
"And I think we have good partners and allies on both sides of the India-Pakistan equation, sir," he told the lawmakers.
"Although extremist attacks have led to the repositioning of substantial Pakistani forces, Pakistan's strategic concerns about India remain pre-eminent," Michele Flournoy, the Under Secretary for Policy in the Department of Defense, told lawmakers.
"We must continue to reassure Pakistan that as it combats the terrorist threat, it is not exposing itself to increased risk along its eastern border," he told a Congressional hearing.
A day earlier, Pentagon had informed the US Congress that the Pakistan Army has shifted about one lakh troops from the Indian border to its western border; thus acknowledging the fact that terrorism and internal insurgency poses more threat to the country.
"More than 100,000 PAKMIL troops were moved from the eastern border with India. This unprecedented deployment and thinning of the lines against India indicates that Islamabad has acknowledged its domestic insurgent threat. Pakistan has suffered attacks from terrorists in response to its successful operations," the Pentagon said in its latest periodic report to the Congress on Afghanistan.
Testifying before the House Armed Services Committee, Flournoy said Pakistan is also wary about the increasing Indo-US relationship.
"A final hurdle, frankly, relates to the legacy of mistrust between the United States and Pakistan. Past US sanctions, past Pakistani concerns about the growing US-India relationship, its scepticism about US staying power in the region have made it a weary partner," she said.
"Similarly, reports of Pakistan's tolerance and support for some violent extremist groups have created scepticism on the US side," she said, adding that this is a partnership that is absolutely vital to US national interests.
"But it is also complex. And the need for candid dialogue and mutual reassurance remains very strong, and I believe we have made substantial progress in this regard over the last year," she said.
Observing that Pakistan's traditional defence posture is and always has been geared to conventional military conflict with India and not a counterinsurgency, she said consequently, prior to Pakistani Taliban's audacious foray into the Swat valley approximately one year ago, Pakistani leadership was reluctant to acknowledge such groups as serious threats to their state security.
"In the past, the Pakistan approach to dealing with violent extremists relied primarily on limited and often inconclusive military operations, as well as tenuous cease-fire agreements, all of which collapsed immediately.
Pakistan's approach to military networks changed when these militants began directing their violence inward, against the Pakistani state, the people and the society," Flournoy said.
Responding to a question, Lt. Gen John Paxton (US Marines), Director for Operations, Joint Chief of Staff, said India too has moved troops from the Pakistan border.
"Yes, sir, I think probably on the intelligence side, we probably want to answer that in closed session," he said.
"We have made overtures, obviously, that trying to diminish the feeling of a threat there will have mutual benefits and a lessening of tensions within the region," Paxton said.
"And I think we have good partners and allies on both sides of the India-Pakistan equation, sir," he told the lawmakers.
Arrested Woman Diplomat's Stay in J-K Being Probed
The stay of arrested Indian woman diplomat in a border district of Jammu and Kashmir was being probed by security agencies who continued to grill her over her contacts in Pakistan and the nature of documents supplied by her handlers.
The 53-year-old Gupta had driven to Sunderban area of the border distruct of Rajouri during which she had toured the area extensively in her Pakistan-registered car, official sources said today.
The woman has been maintaining in her interrogation that her action stemmed out of the alleged ill-treatment meted out by Indian Foreign Service officials to her and the way she was treated with contempt all these years.
The diplomat was quizzed today about information alleged to have been passed on to Pakistani intelligence agencies. She was arrested here six days ago after being called back from Islamabad where she was posted as Second Secretary in the Press and Information wing.
She claimed that her pay had been stopped for four years by the Ministry of External Affairs and she was not allowed to bring her car after her posting in the African nation had been completed, the sources said.
She has been maintaining that certain classified documents were procured from within the Indian Mission in Islamabad. The security agencies were questioning about her visit to Rajouri and her stay there for three days, the sources said.
She has named as her handlers Mubassar Rana, in his late 50's, and Jamshed, another Pakistan intelligence official in his early 30's.
A high-ranking Army officer and an external intelligence agency official have already come under the scanner of security agencies.
Gupta, who belongs to IFS-B service, is the first official of the Foreign Service who has been arrested for allegedly spying for Pakistan.
She is said to have been under surveillance of Indian security agencies for about four months before it was decided to arrest her. Gupta was called to Delhi last week on the pretext of discussion over SAARC summit being held at Thimphu.
The 53-year-old Gupta had driven to Sunderban area of the border distruct of Rajouri during which she had toured the area extensively in her Pakistan-registered car, official sources said today.
The woman has been maintaining in her interrogation that her action stemmed out of the alleged ill-treatment meted out by Indian Foreign Service officials to her and the way she was treated with contempt all these years.
The diplomat was quizzed today about information alleged to have been passed on to Pakistani intelligence agencies. She was arrested here six days ago after being called back from Islamabad where she was posted as Second Secretary in the Press and Information wing.
She claimed that her pay had been stopped for four years by the Ministry of External Affairs and she was not allowed to bring her car after her posting in the African nation had been completed, the sources said.
She has been maintaining that certain classified documents were procured from within the Indian Mission in Islamabad. The security agencies were questioning about her visit to Rajouri and her stay there for three days, the sources said.
She has named as her handlers Mubassar Rana, in his late 50's, and Jamshed, another Pakistan intelligence official in his early 30's.
A high-ranking Army officer and an external intelligence agency official have already come under the scanner of security agencies.
Gupta, who belongs to IFS-B service, is the first official of the Foreign Service who has been arrested for allegedly spying for Pakistan.
She is said to have been under surveillance of Indian security agencies for about four months before it was decided to arrest her. Gupta was called to Delhi last week on the pretext of discussion over SAARC summit being held at Thimphu.
Edited At: Apr 30, 2010 00:05 IST
PM Bhutan expresses satisfaction on success of 16th SAARC summit
THIMPHU, (Bhutan), April 29 (APP) - Expressing satisfaction on the success of 16th SAARC Summit that concluded here Thursday, Prime Minister of Bhutan Lyonchhen Jigmi Yoeser Thinley said engagement between the prime ministers of Pakistan and India was also a clear indication of the success of the summit. Addressing a press conference here at the conclusion of two day 16 South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC), the Prime Minister of Bhutan said all the countries in SAARC are equal.
He said both Pakistan and India participated in the summit despite their issues at home and came here with determination to actively participate in the summit.
He said it was good for the region that if two countries have any concern, they can have the opportunity to hold bilateral talks to discuss them.
The issue of meeting between prime ministers of Pakistan and India was subject of media and not by the SAARC secretariat, he added.
Referring to the talks held between Prime Minister Syed Yusuf Raza Gilani and Indian Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh on the sidelines of SAARC summit, the Prime Minister of Bhutan said it demonstrated mutual desire of the two countries to have negotiations.
He said the negotiations and dialogue process is always helpful in promoting the relations between the two countries and it would be helpful in promoting bilateral relations and it was mutual desire of all the countries.
He said Bhutan and all other countries are willing to have further interaction between Pakistan and India so that the people of the two countries could be brought closer.
Replying to a question about big and small countries in the SAARC, the Prime Minister of Bhutan said there is no discrimination on the basis of size of the country and all the members of the SAARC are enjoying equal status.
He said, “I am very optimistic and improvement in Pak-India relations will help in the betterment of the SAARC region.”
About the summit, he said, “We remained committed to the agenda prepared for it and discussed it and approved it with the active participation of all the leaders.”
Replying to a question about the role of observers, the Prime Minister of Bhutan said, they believe in SAARC and interested to have positive contribution for the betterment and improvement of the region through their support.
He gave the example of China for announcing the donation of dollars 300,000 for the SAARC Development Fund and expressed the hope that there is positive contribution from other observers.
Prime Minister of Bhutan said due to lack of trust there has been problem in the implementation on the agreements previously signed by the SAARC and assured that as new Chairman he would ensure early implementation on these agreements.
He said that new mechanisms are being formulated for the implementations on the agreements.
He added that Youth Forum of SAARC is being established and each head of the state and government in SAARC would be the patron of this new wing of the SAARC to promote interaction between the youth of the region.
Answering a question about opening up of embassies of members of SAARC in Bhutan, he said, there are over 200 countries in the world and it is not possible to have embassies of all the countries here. He however said Bhutan is situated in the corner of the world and it is difficult for many countries to have embassy here.
The Prime Minister of Bhutan however assured there will be progress regarding opening of embassies of SAARC countries here and this process will start soon.
Regarding relaxation of visa for common people travelling the among the members states of SAARC, the Prime Minister of Bhutan said due to security issue it is not the safest region in the world, therefore it is difficult to provide the facility of free travel.
He said with the passage of time and with growing understanding and reduction in cross border terrorism, there is possibility that in future there will be more relaxation in visa regime among the SAARC summits.
He said all the leaders are satisfied on the progress and success of the summit and they are leaving Bhutan with the hope for the better future of the region.
Chinese company confirms Pakistan reactor deal
Move goes against the norms of the Nuclear Suppliers Group
China's biggest operator of nuclear power plants has confirmed that it will export two 340 MW nuclear power reactors to Pakistan in a $2.375-billion agreement, in a controversial deal that analysts say goes against internationally-mandated guidelines governing the transfer of nuclear technology.
The China National Nuclear Corporation, which has already set up two civilian nuclear power reactors in Pakistan, has now signed construction contracts to build two more.
The two governments had in principle agreed on the deal during President Hu Jintao's visit to Islamabad in 2006. But they are yet to publicly formalise the deal.
The CNNC, however, has said in a statement, posted on its website last month, that it had reached the agreement “with the aim of developing an overseas nuclear power electricity market”.
The CNNC has already agreed to build two power reactors in Pakistan, the 325 MW Chashma-1, which started operating in 2000, and Chashma-2, which will be completed next year. The statement said the two new reactors are “2x340 MW”. “Chashma-2 will be a benchmark for C-3 and C-4 projects,” said the statement. On February 12, the two governments had signed a loan contract which went into effect in March, according to the CNNC.
But, Chinese officials on Thursday continued to deny a deal was in place. One official said while the government had given its backing to the deal in principle, some final details still had to be ironed out .
But other diplomats said the government's caution was sourced in the debate the deal was likely to trigger in the international community.
The deal goes against the guidelines of the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG), of which China has been a member since 2004. The NSG does not allow the sale of nuclear equipment to countries that have not signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and do not have a Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency. When India signed the civilian nuclear agreement with the United States, this requirement was waived.
Chinese officials on Thursday did not say whether China had approached the NSG or how it planned to secure a waiver.
All officials said was the deal would “strictly follow” the IAEA norms and the reactors would come under the IAEA's supervision.
Officials also defended China's nuclear relationship with Pakistan, amid concerns over Pakistan's proliferation record.
Asked about the deal, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Jiang Yu said: “In recent years, China and Pakistan have been cooperating in the field of civilian use nuclear energy. Our co-operation is consistent with the two countries' international obligations, is for peaceful purposes and is subject to the IAEA's regulations and supervision.”
Possible concerns in India “would not be relevant” to China's nuclear engagement with Pakistan, said Zhao Gancheng, a scholar at the Shanghai Institute for International Studies (SIIS).
“India, too, signed a civilian nuclear deal with the United States,” he said.
While China voiced opposition to the Indo-U.S. nuclear deal, officials now often cite the deal as precedent for greater nuclear exchanges with Pakistan.
The deal, if agreed, would be consistent with China's policy to expand nuclear energy sector and support other countries' access to civilian nuclear energy for peaceful means, said Mr. Zhao.
“China's official position is to support every country's right to develop nuclear energy for peaceful purposes,” he said. “So China will certainly do what it can to help countries, including Pakistan.”
Pakistan Says Taliban Leader Is Alive
ISLAMABAD—Pakistan Taliban chief Hakimullah Mehsud wasn't killed in a U.S. drone strike in January as previously suspected by the government, Pakistan intelligence officials said Thursday.
Officials said Mr. Mehsud was seriously wounded in the strike and has been sidelined by injuries, leaving another senior commander in charge of the group.
Interior Minister Rehman Malik and other senior officials had said in January they believed Mr. Mehsud died in the strike. A senior intelligence official involved in the operation said Mr. Mehsud was with half a dozen militants when the attack occurred, all of whom died. "Initially it appeared that no one had survived," he said.
Intelligence officials reported that the militants were choosing a new leader, but officially shied away from confirming Mr. Mehsud's death. In February, midlevel Taliban fighters said their chief was dead, but the group's spokesman denied it.
"It's only now that we've been able to confirm that he's still alive," a Pakistan intelligence official said.
The lack of clarity about the fate of Mr. Mehsud has underlined how Pakistan and its U.S. allies are often unable to gather credible intelligence on the inner workings of the Taliban and their al Qaeda allies in the mountainous tribal areas on the border between Pakistan and Afghanistan.
The U.S. had acknowledged reports of Mr. Mehsud's death, but never confirmed it. "If Hakimullah really is alive, let him prove it," said a U.S. counterterrorism official. "He never had a problem going before the cameras. But, for the past few months, he's nowhere to be seen.… His absence is the Taliban's problem, not ours."
Pakistani military intelligence officials said they believe Taliban commander Wali ur Rehman is now the de facto head of the group and has been coordinating attacks.
Follow events in Afghanistan and Pakistan, day by day.
Mr. Rehman was involved in a gun battle with supporters of Mr. Mehsud for control of the group last fall when a previous leader, Baitullah Mehsud, was killed by a U.S. drone strike, Pakistan's government said.
Talat Masood, a security analyst and former Pakistan army general, says Mr. Mehsud's survival won't affect the strength of the Pakistan Taliban, as Mr. Rehman is believed to be running the group.
Mr. Masood, however, cast doubts on how Pakistan's military intelligence knows the fate of Mr. Mehsud without being able to locate him. "If they know all this why don't they just kill him?" he said.
The Pakistan military, aided by U.S. drone strikes, has since last year killed many Pakistan Taliban leaders and largely driven the group out of South Waziristan, their former stronghold. But the group has continued to mount suicide bomb attacks across Pakistan and offer refuge in the tribal areas to the Afghanistan Taliban who are battling U.S. forces across the border.
The U.S. is urging Pakistan to concentrate its fight on North Waziristan, a tribal area where many Taliban leaders, including Mr. Rehman, are believed to be based. Pakistani generals say they are concerned about overstretching their forces after offensives last year against the Taliban in the Swat Valley and South Waziristan.
Officials said Mr. Mehsud was seriously wounded in the strike and has been sidelined by injuries, leaving another senior commander in charge of the group.
Interior Minister Rehman Malik and other senior officials had said in January they believed Mr. Mehsud died in the strike. A senior intelligence official involved in the operation said Mr. Mehsud was with half a dozen militants when the attack occurred, all of whom died. "Initially it appeared that no one had survived," he said.
"It's only now that we've been able to confirm that he's still alive," a Pakistan intelligence official said.
The lack of clarity about the fate of Mr. Mehsud has underlined how Pakistan and its U.S. allies are often unable to gather credible intelligence on the inner workings of the Taliban and their al Qaeda allies in the mountainous tribal areas on the border between Pakistan and Afghanistan.
The U.S. had acknowledged reports of Mr. Mehsud's death, but never confirmed it. "If Hakimullah really is alive, let him prove it," said a U.S. counterterrorism official. "He never had a problem going before the cameras. But, for the past few months, he's nowhere to be seen.… His absence is the Taliban's problem, not ours."
Pakistani military intelligence officials said they believe Taliban commander Wali ur Rehman is now the de facto head of the group and has been coordinating attacks.
Regional Violence
Talat Masood, a security analyst and former Pakistan army general, says Mr. Mehsud's survival won't affect the strength of the Pakistan Taliban, as Mr. Rehman is believed to be running the group.
Mr. Masood, however, cast doubts on how Pakistan's military intelligence knows the fate of Mr. Mehsud without being able to locate him. "If they know all this why don't they just kill him?" he said.
The Pakistan military, aided by U.S. drone strikes, has since last year killed many Pakistan Taliban leaders and largely driven the group out of South Waziristan, their former stronghold. But the group has continued to mount suicide bomb attacks across Pakistan and offer refuge in the tribal areas to the Afghanistan Taliban who are battling U.S. forces across the border.
The U.S. is urging Pakistan to concentrate its fight on North Waziristan, a tribal area where many Taliban leaders, including Mr. Rehman, are believed to be based. Pakistani generals say they are concerned about overstretching their forces after offensives last year against the Taliban in the Swat Valley and South Waziristan.
India and Pakistan agree to hold more talks: now comes the hard part
As predicted, the prime ministers of India and Pakistan agreed during a meeting in Bhutan that their countries should hold further talks to try to repair relations strained since the 2008 Mumbai attacks. Foreign secretary Nirupama Rao told reporters at a regional summit in Thimphu that Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and his counterpart Yusuf Raza Gilani had decided their foreign ministers and foreign secretaries (the top diplomats) should meet as soon as possible.
In agreeing to hold more talks, India and Pakistan have overcome the first major obstacle in the way of better ties – the question of what form their dialogue should take. Pakistan had been insisting on a resumption of the formal peace process, or Composite Dialogue, broken off by India after the attack on Mumbai which it blamed on the Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Taiba militant group. India had been seeking a way back into talks which stopped short of a full resumption of the Composite Dialogue.
The prime ministers, who last met in Egypt last July, appear to have sidestepped that problem by agreeing to hold dialogue on all issues, without specifically labelling this as the Composite Dialogue (which incidentally is meant to cover all issues.)
Having dealt with the form of their talks, the hard part – issues of substance – now lie ahead.
Any easing of tension between the two countries is unlikely to have any immediate impact on the U.S.-led war in Afghanistan, where India and Pakistan have been rivals for influence for decades. Pakistan had already moved significant numbers of troops last year from its Indian border in the east to fight Pakistani Taliban militants on its western border with Afghanistan during a brief thaw between the two nuclear-armed countries last summer. According to a Pentagon report released this week, it may have redeployed as many as 100,000 troops from east to west. But that means it is unlikely to redeploy any more right now, particularly given its concerns at what it sees as an Indian military build-up on its eastern border.
But the talks between India and Pakistan could ultimately pave the way for a scaling down of the proxy war which the two countries’ intelligence services have been accused of waging in Afghanistan. Over time, that will have a major impact on Pakistan’s willingness to tackle the Afghan Taliban and force them to the negotiating table. (Pakistan’s fight against militants so far has been concentrated on tackling the Pakistani Taliban on its border with Afghanistan rather than those fighting U.S.-led forces in Afghanistan.)
Pakistani officials complain that India is using its presence in Afghanistan – which grew substantially after the fall of the Pakistan-backed Taliban government in 2001 – to destabilise Pakistan. They say India’s Research and Analysis Wing (R&AW) is giving money and weapons to Baluch separatists in Pakistan’s Baluchistan province. They also argue that R&AW agents are indirectly destabilising Pakistan’s tribal areas on the Afghan border by providing funding to militants via Afghan’s NDS intelligence service. India denies the accusations and has so far refused Pakistani demands that it close down its consulates in the Afghan cities of Kandahar and Jalalabad near the Pakistan border.
Indian analysts in turn have blamed Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency for attacks on Indian interests in Kabul, including two bombings of its embassy there and more recently an attack in February on a guest-house used by Indians.
Afghanistan has been a haven for years for proxy wars between rival intelligence agencies, often working with little real oversight from national capitals, so it is hard to work out exactly what is going on. What is clear, however, is that whenever you ask a Pakistani official or diplomat about Pakistan’s cooperation with the United States in Afghanistan, they will invariably tell you that they expect in return that the country’s security interests vis-a-vis India are met.
With its arrest of Taliban commander Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, Pakistan has demonstrated it is in a uniquely powerful position to bring the Taliban to the negotiating table – making it for now the favoured ally of the United States over India. Crucial to watch, therefore, in the months ahead will be whether Pakistan makes headway in its demands for a scaling back of India’s presence in Afghanistan, as the price for its cooperation on bringing the Afghan Taliban to heel. India in turn is unlikely to give much ground on Afghanistan unless it believes it will win concessions elsewhere, either from Pakistan itself or from the United States.
But the battle over Afghanistan, for all its complexities, is the easiest of the issues for the two countries to resolve. In theory, both have a mutual interest in a stable and neutral Afghanistan which neither threatens Pakistan nor is used as a haven for militant groups targeting India. On paper, both countries have an opportunity to narrow their differences. And while the huge trust deficit between the two usually makes any progress on any subject extremely difficult, their row over Afghanistan is pragmatic rather than existential.
Where it becomes much more emotional between India and Pakistan is the dispute over Kashmir, which goes to the heart of both countries’ identities. As an Islamic country, Pakistan has always considered Muslim Kashmir should have naturally been part of its territory after partition in 1947; as a secular country, India will not tolerate any territorial changes based on religion. And while India and Pakistan made progress in resolving their dispute over Kashmir in 2007, you can find plenty of people who are cynical about whether a deal worked out between Indian Prime Minister Singh and former Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf would ever have worked. And significantly, the civilian government which took over from Musharraf has virtually disowned it.
Adding fuel to the fire is a row over the role of the Lashkar-e-Taiba, which according to those I spoke to in Pakistan, is unlikely to be disarmed any time soon. Officials say Pakistan cannot risk taking on the Punjab-based militant group while its army is fighting the Pakistani Taliban in the tribal areas. Those who do not speak for the government or the security services give both that reason and another – why should Pakistan disarm a group which is fighting for what many Pakistanis see as the liberation of Kashmir?
Last, but not least, is a dispute over dwindling, and erratic, water supplies as the Himalayan glaciers which feed rivers in both countries melt, and growing populations in both countries use up more and more water for irrigation. This is perhaps the most troubling row since it is the one that both countries have least control over. Yet both will be more inclined to blame the other rather than the force of nature or global warming. (For a reality check, do get hold of a copy of this report published in 2005, which predicted that water would become an issue in 2010.)
Compared to the power of the Himalayan and Karakoram rivers; or indeed to the bitter identity-driven debate over Kashmir, the battle for influence between India and Pakistan in Afghanistan looks comparatively simple. If the Thimphu thaw between India and Pakistan leads anywhere, I’d probably expect to see it in Afghanistan first.
In agreeing to hold more talks, India and Pakistan have overcome the first major obstacle in the way of better ties – the question of what form their dialogue should take. Pakistan had been insisting on a resumption of the formal peace process, or Composite Dialogue, broken off by India after the attack on Mumbai which it blamed on the Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Taiba militant group. India had been seeking a way back into talks which stopped short of a full resumption of the Composite Dialogue.
The prime ministers, who last met in Egypt last July, appear to have sidestepped that problem by agreeing to hold dialogue on all issues, without specifically labelling this as the Composite Dialogue (which incidentally is meant to cover all issues.)
Having dealt with the form of their talks, the hard part – issues of substance – now lie ahead.
Any easing of tension between the two countries is unlikely to have any immediate impact on the U.S.-led war in Afghanistan, where India and Pakistan have been rivals for influence for decades. Pakistan had already moved significant numbers of troops last year from its Indian border in the east to fight Pakistani Taliban militants on its western border with Afghanistan during a brief thaw between the two nuclear-armed countries last summer. According to a Pentagon report released this week, it may have redeployed as many as 100,000 troops from east to west. But that means it is unlikely to redeploy any more right now, particularly given its concerns at what it sees as an Indian military build-up on its eastern border.
But the talks between India and Pakistan could ultimately pave the way for a scaling down of the proxy war which the two countries’ intelligence services have been accused of waging in Afghanistan. Over time, that will have a major impact on Pakistan’s willingness to tackle the Afghan Taliban and force them to the negotiating table. (Pakistan’s fight against militants so far has been concentrated on tackling the Pakistani Taliban on its border with Afghanistan rather than those fighting U.S.-led forces in Afghanistan.)
Pakistani officials complain that India is using its presence in Afghanistan – which grew substantially after the fall of the Pakistan-backed Taliban government in 2001 – to destabilise Pakistan. They say India’s Research and Analysis Wing (R&AW) is giving money and weapons to Baluch separatists in Pakistan’s Baluchistan province. They also argue that R&AW agents are indirectly destabilising Pakistan’s tribal areas on the Afghan border by providing funding to militants via Afghan’s NDS intelligence service. India denies the accusations and has so far refused Pakistani demands that it close down its consulates in the Afghan cities of Kandahar and Jalalabad near the Pakistan border.
Indian analysts in turn have blamed Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency for attacks on Indian interests in Kabul, including two bombings of its embassy there and more recently an attack in February on a guest-house used by Indians.
Afghanistan has been a haven for years for proxy wars between rival intelligence agencies, often working with little real oversight from national capitals, so it is hard to work out exactly what is going on. What is clear, however, is that whenever you ask a Pakistani official or diplomat about Pakistan’s cooperation with the United States in Afghanistan, they will invariably tell you that they expect in return that the country’s security interests vis-a-vis India are met.
With its arrest of Taliban commander Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, Pakistan has demonstrated it is in a uniquely powerful position to bring the Taliban to the negotiating table – making it for now the favoured ally of the United States over India. Crucial to watch, therefore, in the months ahead will be whether Pakistan makes headway in its demands for a scaling back of India’s presence in Afghanistan, as the price for its cooperation on bringing the Afghan Taliban to heel. India in turn is unlikely to give much ground on Afghanistan unless it believes it will win concessions elsewhere, either from Pakistan itself or from the United States.
But the battle over Afghanistan, for all its complexities, is the easiest of the issues for the two countries to resolve. In theory, both have a mutual interest in a stable and neutral Afghanistan which neither threatens Pakistan nor is used as a haven for militant groups targeting India. On paper, both countries have an opportunity to narrow their differences. And while the huge trust deficit between the two usually makes any progress on any subject extremely difficult, their row over Afghanistan is pragmatic rather than existential.
Where it becomes much more emotional between India and Pakistan is the dispute over Kashmir, which goes to the heart of both countries’ identities. As an Islamic country, Pakistan has always considered Muslim Kashmir should have naturally been part of its territory after partition in 1947; as a secular country, India will not tolerate any territorial changes based on religion. And while India and Pakistan made progress in resolving their dispute over Kashmir in 2007, you can find plenty of people who are cynical about whether a deal worked out between Indian Prime Minister Singh and former Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf would ever have worked. And significantly, the civilian government which took over from Musharraf has virtually disowned it.
Adding fuel to the fire is a row over the role of the Lashkar-e-Taiba, which according to those I spoke to in Pakistan, is unlikely to be disarmed any time soon. Officials say Pakistan cannot risk taking on the Punjab-based militant group while its army is fighting the Pakistani Taliban in the tribal areas. Those who do not speak for the government or the security services give both that reason and another – why should Pakistan disarm a group which is fighting for what many Pakistanis see as the liberation of Kashmir?
Last, but not least, is a dispute over dwindling, and erratic, water supplies as the Himalayan glaciers which feed rivers in both countries melt, and growing populations in both countries use up more and more water for irrigation. This is perhaps the most troubling row since it is the one that both countries have least control over. Yet both will be more inclined to blame the other rather than the force of nature or global warming. (For a reality check, do get hold of a copy of this report published in 2005, which predicted that water would become an issue in 2010.)
Compared to the power of the Himalayan and Karakoram rivers; or indeed to the bitter identity-driven debate over Kashmir, the battle for influence between India and Pakistan in Afghanistan looks comparatively simple. If the Thimphu thaw between India and Pakistan leads anywhere, I’d probably expect to see it in Afghanistan first.
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